Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 94183.832790 99295.675517 104402.468200 109883.566131 115596.335812 121371.515432 127647.515563
2025-06-22 86126.311221 93984.460031 102050.236985 110937.260030 120443.455281 130296.259468 141269.350642
2025-06-29 79796.148862 89498.363653 99672.529028 111115.169637 123603.547541 136797.135945 151766.936706
2025-07-06 74801.261574 85861.125296 97669.510039 111179.127993 126170.073454 142257.414583 160788.670242
2025-07-13 71901.151584 84190.735415 97515.649492 112983.336234 130388.964582 149314.145763 171390.503965
2025-07-20 69317.760289 82637.620539 97281.105531 114501.634089 134122.236865 155704.338775 181159.994641
2025-07-27 66698.960184 80855.345343 96619.585634 115381.271830 137002.770336 161038.173422 189673.180268
2025-08-03 63906.668205 78710.272212 95396.954234 115481.634518 138876.265650 165140.039947 196722.556520
2025-08-10 61562.694123 76961.898571 94518.645746 115873.564994 140995.095566 169454.800976 203971.903690
2025-08-17 59248.457912 75136.922834 93450.064782 115949.044830 142666.090068 173194.118269 210519.031187
2025-08-24 57765.363791 74230.516590 93399.754545 117167.441051 145633.832397 178415.315336 218788.616654
2025-08-31 55651.892957 72472.417939 92253.732455 117006.220064 146906.043300 181605.583953 224650.240596
2025-09-07 54583.643820 71972.528654 92615.675791 118667.839412 150387.323708 187462.440631 233760.047423
2025-09-14 53192.115813 71019.997356 92384.647131 119577.573224 152946.852351 192226.920380 241599.971042
2025-09-21 51505.033206 69634.781812 91566.875177 119719.447891 154536.453992 195808.110002 248020.238231
2025-09-28 49879.895246 68268.933491 90720.050075 119776.882732 155984.077375 199193.912747 254198.177969
2025-10-05 49239.470055 68129.238313 91380.109069 121691.174537 159712.367645 205355.899616 263774.090283
2025-10-12 48500.664964 67830.317770 91813.842118 123303.282742 163059.233062 211060.871045 272821.864762
2025-10-19 47495.810727 67148.535740 91730.534161 124237.347185 165544.883058 215707.599878 280589.060787
2025-10-26 46174.155676 66008.480769 91023.146413 124343.901524 166965.589799 219026.453183 286721.200741
2025-11-02 45052.523726 65097.573781 90579.364152 124760.099635 168757.855372 222798.516180 293422.796272
2025-11-09 43840.703567 64029.340691 89898.124522 124840.251058 170100.287018 225997.874235 299414.035763
2025-11-16 43191.500691 63697.368540 90161.985384 126133.997005 172990.890925 231146.819070 307870.727171